{
  "report_id": "theme_humanoid_robotics_node_humanoid_oem_platforms_and_regional_ecosystems",
  "report_type": "theme_value_chain_node",
  "site_path": "themes/humanoid-robotics/nodes/humanoid-oem-platforms-and-regional-ecosystems/index.html",
  "title": "Humanoid OEM Platforms And Regional Ecosystems",
  "as_of": "2026-07-05",
  "generated_at": "2026-07-05T14:35:00-07:00",
  "categories": [
    "Humanoid robotics",
    "Physical AI",
    "Industrial automation",
    "Robot platforms",
    "Robots-as-a-Service",
    "Fleet software",
    "Regional robotics ecosystems",
    "Discovery-backed"
  ],
  "freshness": {
    "paper_reviewed_as_of": "2026-07-05",
    "knowledge_reviewed_as_of": "2026-07-05",
    "local_discovery_reviewed_as_of": "2026-07-05",
    "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
    "daily_ohlc_latest_row": "2026-07-02",
    "chart_interval": "weekly",
    "local_api_check": {
      "checked_at": "2026-07-05",
      "endpoint_template": "http://127.0.0.1:8765/api/securities/TICKER/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "result": "failed: connection refused at 127.0.0.1:8765; node keeps data-report-api=required and data-chart-ticker hooks for the local report API when running"
    },
    "sec_check": {
      "checked_at": "2026-07-05",
      "ticker": "RR",
      "source": "https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001963685.json",
      "result": "Official SEC submissions still showed the 2026-05-15 NT 10-Q for the March 31, 2026 period and no later matching 10-Q in the returned recent forms."
    },
    "lineage_note": "Read-only discovery showed daily_ohlc rows through 2026-07-02 for TSLA, SERV, RR, PDYN, and KSCP. lineage-status reported source_freshness=2026-05-08 for the inspected daily_ohlc runs, so the page labels price data as current rows and lineage as lagging. No discovery mutation, ingestion, or backfill was run.",
    "limitations": [
      "The direct humanoid OEM leaders are mostly private, non-U.S., or embedded in larger public companies without isolated robot economics.",
      "No ranked ticker receives direct humanoid revenue credit unless a filing, release, or source-routed lane isolates paid humanoid units, utilization, margin, or cash conversion.",
      "TSLA is the cleanest public humanoid platform route, but Optimus revenue, unit cost, uptime, and task economics are not separately disclosed in the inspected lane.",
      "SERV is a delivery and healthcare robot fleet comparator rather than a humanoid OEM; it ranks ahead of RR because the local lane has fresher public fleet KPIs.",
      "RR is the cleaner robot-platform and RaaS proxy, but the local lane and official SEC check still support a delayed March 31, 2026 10-Q caveat.",
      "PDYN and KSCP are lower-conviction autonomy or robot-fleet monitors with small revenue bases, funding dependence, and weak technical setups.",
      "Trend labels are based on read-only local weekly calculations from daily_ohlc through 2026-07-02; right-rail charts should be read from the report API when the server is running."
    ]
  },
  "revision": {
    "created_label": "Created child node page and ranked the Humanoid OEM Platforms And Regional Ecosystems basket from ten xhigh primary subagents plus one xhigh merge selector",
    "updated_label": "Promoted the parent-only node to an active child page, moved SERV ahead of RR for current fleet evidence, retained RR as the direct RaaS proxy with filing caveat, and linked parent page plus sitemap metadata",
    "metadata_path": "themes/humanoid-robotics/nodes/humanoid-oem-platforms-and-regional-ecosystems/report.json",
    "version": 2
  },
  "node": {
    "id": "theme_humanoid_robotics_node_humanoid_oem_platforms_and_regional_ecosystems",
    "slug": "humanoid-oem-platforms-and-regional-ecosystems",
    "order": 7,
    "level": "L1 watch-only platform node",
    "role": "Controls the finished robot, task roadmap, fleet logs, software updates, support model, leasing or RaaS pricing, and regional supply-chain choice.",
    "description": "Humanoid OEMs, robot operating systems, fleet services, regional manufacturing stacks, data partnerships, service robotics, and speculative public platform routes.",
    "ranking_method": "Ten xhigh primary research subagents and one xhigh merge selector ranked source-backed platform exposure first, current operating evidence second, and chart/setup timing third. The merge kept TSLA first, moved SERV ahead of RR because SERV has fresher fleet KPI evidence, retained RR as the more direct robot-platform/RaaS proxy with filing caveat, and kept PDYN plus KSCP as lower-conviction monitors."
  },
  "current_setup": {
    "why_it_matters_to_the_theme": "Humanoid platforms combine body hardware, sensors, compute, controls, teleoperation, fleet logs, service models, and regional supply chains. Public-market exposure is indirect and should be treated as a watch basket until filings show paid humanoid fleets, utilization, margin, and cash conversion.",
    "tailwinds": "Active robot deployments, fleet hours, paid service revenue, customer pilots, and OEM funding can turn robotics capability into revenue evidence. TSLA supplies the direct public platform narrative, SERV supplies current fleet KPIs, and RR supplies the cleaner robot-platform/RaaS concept. The next proof is larger paid fleets, better utilization, and filings that separate robot revenue from broader operations.",
    "headwinds": "Most direct humanoid leaders are private, non-U.S., or embedded inside larger companies. Public proxies have stale filings, small revenue bases, weak charts, indirect exposure, or financing dependence. Watch updated filings, customer contracts, funding needs, regional supply-chain restrictions, and local API or chart freshness."
  },
  "ticker_baskets": {
    "ranked_all": [
      "TSLA",
      "SERV",
      "RR",
      "PDYN",
      "KSCP"
    ],
    "direct_platform_proxy": [
      "TSLA"
    ],
    "fleet_evidence": [
      "SERV"
    ],
    "direct_robot_raas_proxy": [
      "RR"
    ],
    "autonomy_monitor": [
      "PDYN"
    ],
    "security_robot_monitor": [
      "KSCP"
    ],
    "source_only_or_monitor_tickers": [
      "HSAI",
      "FANUY",
      "YASKY",
      "SIEGY",
      "KYCCF",
      "MIELY",
      "OMRNY"
    ],
    "source_only_names": [
      "Unitree",
      "Figure",
      "Agility Robotics",
      "1X",
      "Apptronik",
      "Boston Dynamics",
      "UBTECH",
      "Xiaomi",
      "XPeng",
      "Toyota",
      "Honda",
      "Hyundai",
      "Doosan",
      "Kawasaki",
      "Mitsubishi Electric",
      "Daifuku",
      "SMC",
      "Nabtesco",
      "Harmonic Drive"
    ]
  },
  "basket_ranking": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "company": "Tesla, Inc.",
      "status": "direct platform proxy",
      "role_in_stack": "Potential finished humanoid platform loop through Optimus, internal factories, autonomy data, AI infrastructure, service footprint, and a path to external customers if Optimus moves beyond internal use.",
      "revenue_mix": "Q1 2026 revenue was $22.387B. Q2 deliveries were 480,126 vehicles, Q2 storage deployments were 13.5 GWh, and the local lane records 1.28M active FSD subscriptions in the Q1 update. Optimus revenue is not separately disclosed.",
      "proof_burden": "Needs factory task counts, paid robot units, intervention rate, uptime, unit cost, safety, service burden, internal productivity, and a path from AI capex to free cash flow. Strong auto or energy results do not by themselves prove humanoid economics.",
      "market_cap": "$1.48T",
      "market_cap_method": "2026-07-02 local close times local weighted shares outstanding",
      "latest_quarter_revenue": "$22.387B",
      "latest_quarter_period": "Q1 2026",
      "next_earnings": "Jul 22, 2026",
      "setup_label": "pullback to rising moving average"
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "ticker": "SERV",
      "company": "Serve Robotics Inc.",
      "status": "fleet evidence",
      "role_in_stack": "Delivery robots, remote support, software services, healthcare automation after Diligent, customer concentration, and revenue per deployed capacity.",
      "revenue_mix": "Q1 2026 revenue was $2.984M, split between $1.958M fleet services and $1.026M software services. The local lane records 812 daily active robots and 10,295 daily supply hours.",
      "proof_burden": "Needs revenue per robot, operator-to-robot leverage, remote intervention decline, service margin, customer retention, Diligent contribution, operating cash burn, and ATM discipline. Q1 gross loss was $9.001M and operating cash use was $41.422M.",
      "market_cap": "$488M",
      "market_cap_method": "2026-07-02 local close times local weighted shares outstanding",
      "latest_quarter_revenue": "$2.984M",
      "latest_quarter_period": "Q1 2026",
      "next_earnings": "Not confirmed",
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 3,
      "ticker": "RR",
      "company": "Richtech Robotics Inc.",
      "status": "direct robot RaaS proxy",
      "role_in_stack": "Commercial and industrial robots, RaaS and leasing/service revenue, and a longer-term data-services and Dex platform route.",
      "revenue_mix": "The latest filed local quarter in the lane was Q1 FY2026 with $1.147M revenue, including $319K of RaaS revenue and $1.722M of RaaS-related remaining performance obligations. Official SEC submissions still showed an NT 10-Q for the March 31, 2026 period as of the July 5 check.",
      "proof_burden": "Needs to clear the delayed filing, grow RaaS and RPO, show customer revenue by product family, prove deployment density, reduce service cost per robot, improve uptime and gross margin after support costs, and limit share-count dilution.",
      "market_cap": "$438M",
      "market_cap_method": "2026-07-02 local close times local weighted shares outstanding",
      "latest_quarter_revenue": "$1.147M",
      "latest_quarter_period": "Q1 FY2026",
      "next_earnings": "Not confirmed",
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 4,
      "ticker": "PDYN",
      "company": "Palladyne AI Corp.",
      "status": "autonomy monitor",
      "role_in_stack": "Autonomy software and production-transition exposure through SwarmOS, BRAIN, Palladyne Pilot, IQ, engineering services, and precision manufacturing.",
      "revenue_mix": "Q1 2026 revenue was $3.538M. Backlog was $17.3M, total estimated contract value was $23.4M, and FY2026 revenue guidance was $24M-$27M. Software revenue is not yet separately visible at scale.",
      "proof_burden": "Needs backlog conversion, first-article approvals, named defense or commercial autonomy awards, software attach, gross-margin improvement, lower burn intensity, and limited ATM usage before the story becomes self-funding.",
      "market_cap": "$276M",
      "market_cap_method": "2026-07-02 local close times local weighted shares outstanding",
      "latest_quarter_revenue": "$3.538M",
      "latest_quarter_period": "Q1 2026",
      "next_earnings": "Not confirmed",
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 5,
      "ticker": "KSCP",
      "company": "Knightscope, Inc.",
      "status": "security robot monitor",
      "role_in_stack": "Autonomous security robots, emergency communication devices, monitoring software, and managed-security services after Event Risk.",
      "revenue_mix": "Q1 2026 revenue was $6.016M, including $3.665M from Core Technology and $2.351M from Acquired Security Force. Consolidated gross margin was $0.465M, and backlog was about $0.8M as of May 8.",
      "proof_burden": "Needs full-quarter KSF retention, Core Technology margin, ASR/ECD demand, K7 commercialization, operating cash burn reduction, cash runway, financing terms, and share-count control.",
      "market_cap": "$33M",
      "market_cap_method": "2026-07-02 local close times local weighted shares outstanding",
      "latest_quarter_revenue": "$6.016M",
      "latest_quarter_period": "Q1 2026",
      "next_earnings": "Not confirmed",
      "setup_label": "persistent downtrend"
    }
  ],
  "chart_artifacts": [
    {
      "rank": 1,
      "ticker": "TSLA",
      "chart_endpoint": "/api/securities/TSLA/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "source_table": "daily_ohlc",
      "aggregation": "weekly",
      "indicators": [
        "20-week EMA",
        "100-week EMA",
        "weekly volume"
      ],
      "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
      "visible_years": 3,
      "rendering": "report_api_required",
      "last_close": 393.45,
      "ema20_weekly": 401.29,
      "ema100_weekly": 357.17,
      "return_20d": -0.071,
      "return_63d": 0.032,
      "setup_label": "pullback to rising moving average"
    },
    {
      "rank": 2,
      "ticker": "SERV",
      "chart_endpoint": "/api/securities/SERV/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "source_table": "daily_ohlc",
      "aggregation": "weekly",
      "indicators": [
        "20-week EMA",
        "100-week EMA",
        "weekly volume"
      ],
      "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
      "visible_years": 3,
      "rendering": "report_api_required",
      "last_close": 6.31,
      "ema20_weekly": 8.43,
      "ema100_weekly": 9.24,
      "return_20d": -0.234,
      "return_63d": -0.25,
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 3,
      "ticker": "RR",
      "chart_endpoint": "/api/securities/RR/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "source_table": "daily_ohlc",
      "aggregation": "weekly",
      "indicators": [
        "20-week EMA",
        "100-week EMA",
        "weekly volume"
      ],
      "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
      "visible_years": 3,
      "rendering": "report_api_required",
      "last_close": 1.96,
      "ema20_weekly": 2.5,
      "ema100_weekly": 2.82,
      "return_20d": -0.273,
      "return_63d": -0.03,
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 4,
      "ticker": "PDYN",
      "chart_endpoint": "/api/securities/PDYN/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "source_table": "daily_ohlc",
      "aggregation": "weekly",
      "indicators": [
        "20-week EMA",
        "100-week EMA",
        "weekly volume"
      ],
      "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
      "visible_years": 3,
      "rendering": "report_api_required",
      "last_close": 5.84,
      "ema20_weekly": 6.55,
      "ema100_weekly": 6.03,
      "return_20d": -0.252,
      "return_63d": -0.058,
      "setup_label": "below key weekly trend"
    },
    {
      "rank": 5,
      "ticker": "KSCP",
      "chart_endpoint": "/api/securities/KSCP/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "source_table": "daily_ohlc",
      "aggregation": "weekly",
      "indicators": [
        "20-week EMA",
        "100-week EMA",
        "weekly volume"
      ],
      "price_data_as_of": "2026-07-02",
      "visible_years": 3,
      "rendering": "report_api_required",
      "last_close": 2.04,
      "ema20_weekly": 3.0,
      "ema100_weekly": 18.47,
      "return_20d": -0.2,
      "return_63d": -0.474,
      "setup_label": "persistent downtrend"
    }
  ],
  "knowledge_sources": [
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/index.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/concepts/themes/physical-ai-defense-autonomy.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/concepts/themes/ai-capex-cycle.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/concepts/themes/funding-dependency-and-duration-tolerance.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/concepts/themes/trade-tariff-sourcing-geography.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/sector/industrials.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/sector/information-technology.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/tsla.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/serv.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/rr.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/pdyn.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/kscp.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/hsai.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/fanuy.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/yasky.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/siegy.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/kyccf.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/miely.md",
    "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/omrny.md"
  ],
  "paper_sources": [
    "papers/robotics/Humanoid Robots.md",
    "papers/robotics/Roland_Berger_Humanoid_Robots_2026.md",
    "papers/robotics/Roland_Berger_Humanoid_Robots_2026.pdf",
    "papers/robotics/Roland_Berger_Humanoid_Robots_2026/Roland_Berger_Humanoid_Robots_2026_meta.json"
  ],
  "discovery_sources": [
    "discovery:status:TSLA|SERV|RR|PDYN|KSCP",
    "discovery:lineage-status:daily_ohlc:TSLA|SERV|RR|PDYN|KSCP:source_freshness=2026-05-08",
    "discovery:duckdb:daily_ohlc:TSLA|SERV|RR|PDYN|KSCP:latest_row=2026-07-02",
    "discovery:duckdb:instruments:computed_market_cap:2026-07-02_close_times_weighted_shares",
    "discovery:duckdb:weekly_ema_screen:TSLA|SERV|RR|PDYN|KSCP:20w_ema_100w_ema",
    "report-api:/api/securities/TICKER/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest:local_check_failed_connection_refused_2026-07-05",
    "report-api:/api/themes/security-registry",
    "assets/chart-level-rules.js"
  ],
  "external_sources": [
    "https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001963685.json"
  ],
  "source_trail": {
    "canonical_theme_route": "themes/humanoid-robotics/index.html",
    "canonical_node_route": "themes/humanoid-robotics/nodes/humanoid-oem-platforms-and-regional-ecosystems/index.html",
    "metadata_route": "themes/humanoid-robotics/nodes/humanoid-oem-platforms-and-regional-ecosystems/report.json",
    "route_registry_route": "sitemap.json",
    "chart_level_registry_route": "assets/chart-level-rules.js",
    "canonical_knowledge_lanes": [
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/tsla.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/serv.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/rr.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/pdyn.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/kscp.md"
    ],
    "regional_monitor_lanes": [
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/hsai.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/fanuy.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/yasky.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/siegy.md",
      "../../../../../knowledge/wiki/lanes/security/kyccf.md"
    ],
    "projected_claims_or_evidence": [
      "Roland Berger 2026 extraction: OEM-level market scenarios, software and ecosystem lag, regional ecosystem split, and early factory/logistics use cases",
      "TSLA lane: Q1 2026 revenue, Q2 deliveries, storage deployments, FSD subscriptions, AI infrastructure, and Optimus disclosure gap",
      "SERV lane: Q1 2026 fleet services, software services, daily active robots, daily supply hours, gross loss, and operating cash use",
      "RR lane: Q1 FY2026 revenue, RaaS revenue, RaaS remaining performance obligations, FY2025 cash and investments, and delayed March 2026 10-Q caveat",
      "PDYN lane: Q1 2026 revenue, backlog, total estimated contract value, FY2026 guidance, and autonomy/manufacturing transition",
      "KSCP lane: Q1 2026 revenue, Core Technology and Acquired Security Force mix, gross margin, backlog, and funding risk"
    ],
    "local_chart_endpoints": [
      "/api/securities/TSLA/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "/api/securities/SERV/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "/api/securities/RR/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "/api/securities/PDYN/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest",
      "/api/securities/KSCP/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest"
    ],
    "official_sec_checks": [
      {
        "ticker": "RR",
        "url": "https://data.sec.gov/submissions/CIK0001963685.json",
        "checked_at": "2026-07-05",
        "result": "Recent filings still showed the 2026-05-15 NT 10-Q for the March 31, 2026 period and no later matching 10-Q in the returned recent forms."
      }
    ],
    "ranking_process": "Ten xhigh primary research subagents and one xhigh merge selector; final order TSLA, SERV, RR, PDYN, KSCP.",
    "source_boundary": "Canonical company and sector research stays in ../knowledge. Price rows and instrument context come from read-only discovery. Chart overlays stay in assets/chart-level-rules.js. This report page only projects the selected node argument and metadata."
  }
}