PM Portfolio Manager Reports

From Portfolio Manager reports

AI-Cloud Capacity And Financing

AI-cloud capacity and financing covers the operating stack that turns power, buildings, graphics processing units, racks, networking, cooling, leases, and project finance into rented AI compute. The node includes GPU cloud sellers, high-density data-center landlords, and Bitcoin-mining site conversions because each sells the same practical output: usable AI clusters or powered data halls that customers can run. Customers are AI labs, hyperscalers, enterprises, neoclouds, and investment-grade technology tenants. Theme pressure becomes company economics only when contracted power, GPUs, data halls, leases, customer advances, or annual recurring revenue become delivered capacity, utilization, rent, colocation revenue, margin, collections, and cash flow after capex, leases, debt, depreciation, dilution, and customer concentration. CRWV and NBIS have the most direct AI-cloud revenue evidence; APLD and IREN have large contracted capacity ramps; CORZ and WULF have commenced colocation or lease revenue; CIFR and HUT have larger but more prospective campus leases; WYFI is the smaller bridge-financing route.

Report boundary: this node is a tactical report layer. It ranks the current AI-cloud capacity basket, source-backed exposure, right-rail chart route, and confirmation checks. Durable research, claim IDs, raw source registries, and sector thesis maintenance stay in the linked knowledge pages. Daily price coverage comes from read-only discovery daily_ohlc through 2026-06-12. Static setup thresholds in older page metadata were built from completed weekly bars through 2026-06-05 and are stale until the weekly setup package is refreshed.

Current Setup

Capacity-to-cash test Signed AI demand has to become live capacity, margin, and collections.

GPU cloud and AI data-center names have large contracts, but the equity read depends on delivered megawatts, accepted clusters, rent start, utilization, financing terms, and cash flow after capex.

Demand proof CRWV and NBIS have the cleanest direct AI-cloud revenue evidence. APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI add lease, MW, ARR, TCV, or colocation paths.
Conversion gate Capacity needs customer acceptance and billing. Watch active MW, billable MW, ARR-to-revenue conversion, rent commencement, utilization, and collections.
Primary constraint Financing can absorb the upside before common holders see it. Debt, converts, leases, customer advances, equity issuance, and construction delays remain live checks.
  1. InputPower + GPUs + data halls
  2. ContractLease, ARR, TCV, RPO
  3. ServiceAccepted clusters + billable MW
  4. Equity proofMargin, cash, dilution

Fundamental claims route to the AI Capex Cycle theme, security lanes for all core and watch names, official company releases and filings where checked, and the funding and power companion pages. Chart evidence is right-rail API-backed from discovery daily_ohlc; old static setup thresholds from 2026-06-05 are stale versus 2026-06-12 local chart coverage.

Basket

This basket is inherited from the parent theme's AI-cloud capacity group and hand-ranked by source-backed node economics before technical timing. The merge pass kept CRWV and NBIS first because both already report direct AI-cloud revenue at scale. APLD ranks third because signed AI Factory lease value and critical IT load are unusually large. IREN and CORZ follow because IREN has large ARR under contract but still reports mostly Bitcoin revenue, while CORZ has strong billable colocation revenue but depends heavily on CoreWeave. WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI stay core because each has a direct lease, colocation, AI cloud, or contracted-capacity path, but their current revenue scale, delivery timing, funding quality, or customer concentration requires a larger discount.

CRWV CoreWeave

Direct GPU-cloud operator with the clearest backlog, power, and committed-contract evidence in this node.

Market cap$53.1B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$2.078B

Role in stack

CoreWeave sells GPU clusters, networking, storage, and managed cloud infrastructure to AI labs, hyperscalers, enterprises, and other compute buyers. The conversion route is delivered power and GPU capacity becoming billable utilization, collections, adjusted operating income, and contract-backed financing.

Revenue mix

The local lane treats revenue as GPU cloud capacity and related infrastructure services because the current source set does not disclose a detailed product split. Customer concentration, power delivery, debt, leases, and covenant flexibility are the main caveats.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 revenue was $2.078B in CoreWeave's Q1 2026 results release. The same release disclosed $98.8B of RPO, $99.4B of backlog, more than 1 GW of active power, and more than 3.5 GW of contracted power.

NBIS Nebius Group

Direct AI-cloud seller with reported AI cloud revenue, ARR, and customer-advance financing.

Market cap$59.0B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$399.0M

Role in stack

Nebius sells AI cloud capacity, storage, networking, managed AI tooling, and software to AI workload customers. Economics depend on connected power, active utilization, billed AI cloud revenue, adjusted EBITDA quality, customer-prepayment durability, financing terms, and internal-control remediation.

Revenue mix

AI cloud is the company-defining business in the local lane. Q1 2026 AI cloud revenue was $389.7M, about 98% of group revenue; Avride, TripleTen, ClickHouse, and Toloka are secondary to the AI-cloud buildout.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 group revenue was $399.0M in the Nebius Q1 2026 results presentation. ARR was $1.92B, adjusted EBITDA was $129.5M, and operating cash flow depended heavily on customer advances and deferred revenue.

APLD Applied Digital

AI Factory landlord with unusually large contracted critical IT load and lease value.

Market cap$12.2B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$126.5M

Role in stack

Applied Digital leases AI Factory campuses to hyperscalers and high-density AI tenants. Theme pressure converts into base rent, tenant fit-out revenue, power pass-throughs, and site NOI after power, construction, interconnection, financing, and tenant acceptance are complete.

Revenue mix

HPC Hosting is now the main segment. Q3 FY2026 HPC Hosting revenue was $71.0M, or 56.1% of revenue; legacy data-center hosting and cloud services are secondary in the current lane.

Latest qtr revenue

Q3 FY2026 total revenue was about $126.5M based on Applied Digital's reported $71.0M HPC Hosting revenue at 56.1% of revenue. The June 8 lease release added 210 MW and $5.2B of base revenue after the local lane.

IREN IREN

Power-connected AI Cloud ramp with large contracted ARR but Bitcoin-heavy current revenue.

Market cap$19.8B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$144.8M

Role in stack

IREN converts power-connected sites and GPU fleets into AI Cloud capacity for Microsoft, NVIDIA-linked demand, and other AI customers. The conversion route is contracted ARR becoming recognized AI Cloud revenue, customer acceptance, utilization, and cash flow.

Revenue mix

Q3 FY2026 revenue was still Bitcoin-heavy: Bitcoin mining was $111.2M, about 76.8% of revenue, while AI Cloud Services was $33.6M, about 23.2%.

Latest qtr revenue

Q3 FY2026 total revenue was about $144.8M from IREN's Q3 FY2026 update. The AI Cloud case is supported by $3.1B of ARR under contract and a $3.7B target, but the cash-flow test still depends on GPU delivery and commissioning.

CORZ Core Scientific

Converted mining-site colocation route with meaningful billable MW and CoreWeave concentration.

Market cap$8.8B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$115.7M

Role in stack

Core Scientific converts former mining sites into high-density AI/HPC colocation capacity, primarily for CoreWeave today. Economics convert when billable MW scale into colocation revenue, gross margin, cash collections, and second-tenant evidence.

Revenue mix

Colocation is now the economic center. Q1 2026 colocation revenue was $77.539M, or about 67% of total revenue; self-mining and hosted mining are residual relative to the AI colocation pivot.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 total revenue was about $115.7M based on Core Scientific's Q1 2026 release and the disclosed colocation mix. The same release showed 243 MW billable to CoreWeave and 57% colocation gross margin.

WULF TeraWulf

Power-backed campus lease route with started HPC revenue and equity-funding sensitivity.

Market cap$12.8B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$34.0M

Role in stack

TeraWulf leases critical IT MW at power-backed campuses such as Lake Mariner and Abernathy to Core42, Fluidstack-type tenants, and Google-supported structures. Conversion depends on additional buildings energizing, rent starting, customer obligations holding, and EBITDA improving.

Revenue mix

HPC lease revenue became the majority of Q1 revenue. Q1 2026 HPC lease revenue was $21.0M, or 62% of total revenue; digital-asset revenue was $13.0M.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 total revenue was $34.0M in TeraWulf's Q1 2026 release. Sixty critical IT MW were energized and generating revenue at Lake Mariner as of March 31, 2026.

CIFR Cipher Digital

Large contracted HPC campus developer whose reported revenue is still mostly mining-led.

Market cap$10.0B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$35.0M

Role in stack

Cipher develops and leases power-backed HPC campuses, including Barber Lake and Black Pearl, to hyperscale and AI infrastructure tenants. Economics convert when contracted gross MW becomes tenant access, rent commencement, NOI, and financing capacity.

Revenue mix

Current reported revenue is still mostly Bitcoin mining. The HPC development book is the forward value driver and has not yet become material recognized revenue in the local lane.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 revenue was about $35M in Cipher Digital's Q1 2026 business update. The same update disclosed 700 MW of contracted gross HPC capacity, about $11.4B of contracted revenue, and about $787M of average annualized NOI over base lease terms.

HUT Hut 8

Power-first AI campus lease route with large contracted IT capacity but later delivery timing.

Market cap$13.4B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$71.0M

Role in stack

Hut 8 develops power-first AI campuses under long-term leases at River Bend and Beacon Point. Conversion depends on contracted IT capacity becoming delivered, tenant-accepted data halls while non-recourse project finance protects parent equity.

Revenue mix

Q1 2026 revenue was still Compute-heavy: Compute was $66.0M of $71.0M total revenue; Power and Digital Infrastructure were small reported segments.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 total revenue was $71.0M in Hut 8's Q1 2026 release. River Bend and Beacon Point totaled $16.8B of base-term AI lease value and 597 MW of contracted IT capacity, with most delivery still ahead.

WYFI WhiteFiber

Smaller GPU cloud and colocation route where permanent financing is the main gate.

Market cap$0.95B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$21.9M

Role in stack

WhiteFiber provides GPU cloud and colocation capacity through NC-1/Nscale, Paris AI compute, and smaller cloud services. Economics convert when capacity commences service, customers accept equipment, bills are collected, and bridge financing is refinanced into durable capital.

Revenue mix

Q1 2026 revenue was mostly cloud services: cloud revenue was $16.8M, or 76.5%; colocation was $4.8M, or 21.8%.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 total revenue was $21.9M in the WhiteFiber local lane and related SEC-filed release trail. NC-1/Nscale contracted revenue near $865M over ten years and Paris AI compute TCV above $160M are the forward milestones.

Market caps are local discovery estimates using June 12, 2026 close prices multiplied by weighted shares outstanding where available. Next-earnings fields are marked Not confirmed because bounded Nasdaq earnings pages for CRWV, NBIS, APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI showed no available earnings date when accessed on June 13, 2026. Watch routes: DLR and EQIX are mature data-center REIT comparables whose economics route through bookings, development capex, debt cost, issuance, and FFO/AFFO per share. BTDR is the tail power-to-AI option, but Q1 AI Cloud revenue was too small and the Tydal-style colocation path was not yet signed enough to rank with the core basket. Hyperscalers such as AMZN, MSFT, GOOGL, META, and ORCL route to the capex-budget node instead of this financing-sensitive capacity node.

What Confirms Or Weakens

Area What confirms What weakens or invalidates Watch next
01 Node thesis Contracts become service
What confirms

Signed AI cloud, colocation, lease, ARR, RPO, or TCV evidence becomes delivered MW, live clusters, billable utilization, rent, customer collections, margin, and cash flow.

What weakens or invalidates

Contracted value rises while delivered capacity, utilization, rent commencement, gross margin, adjusted operating income, or cash conversion fails to keep pace with capex and fixed obligations.

Watch next
  • Q2/Q3 revenue
  • Delivered MW
  • Accepted clusters
  • ARR to revenue
02 Economics and recovery mechanism Revenue becomes cash
What confirms

CRWV and NBIS expand margin as capacity seasons; APLD, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI show rent or colocation revenue covering power, depreciation, support cost, and site operations.

What weakens or invalidates

Revenue grows while GAAP losses, depreciation, power cost, service credits, construction cost, or support expense absorbs the operating leverage.

Watch next
  • Gross margin
  • Adjusted operating income
  • Colocation margin
  • Power cost
  • Depreciation
03 Customer and contract quality Buyer pays and accepts
What confirms

Named or investment-grade customers fund or accept capacity, prepayments remain durable, and contract terms support rent, colocation revenue, or GPU-cloud billing.

What weakens or invalidates

Major customers delay, renegotiate, cancel, need backstop support, pause workloads, or leave contract economics too opaque to assess margin and collections.

Watch next
  • Customer concentration
  • Tenant credit
  • Acceptance milestones
  • Receivable quality
04 Funding and balance sheet Capex is financeable
What confirms

Capex, project debt, converts, vendor financing, customer advances, and equity issuance fund capacity without excessive dilution, covenant stress, or refinancing pressure.

What weakens or invalidates

Capex moves above guidance, bridge financing rolls forward, facility terms tighten, interest expense rises, or new equity is required before cash flow improves.

Watch next
  • CRWV capex and interest
  • NBIS converts and advances
  • APLD project finance
  • WULF and CIFR issuance
  • WYFI permanent financing
05 Policy, power, and deployment Capacity reaches the customer
What confirms

Contracted power, critical IT load, and data-center leases become energized buildings, accepted data halls, live GPU clusters, and revenue recognition on schedule.

What weakens or invalidates

Power, interconnection, construction, GPU, networking, memory, cooling, permitting, or customer-acceptance delays keep signed demand from becoming billable capacity.

Watch next
  • Active MW
  • Billable MW
  • Customer acceptance
  • Site readiness
  • Component cost
06 Stale condition Data must be refreshed together
What confirms

Discovery daily_ohlc remains current, the report API returns weekly chart packages in basket order, and linked security lanes still cover the latest filings and official contract updates.

What weakens or invalidates

A new earnings release, 10-Q, 6-K, debt facility, lease, customer commitment, customer loss, construction update, or discovery refresh arrives before this page is updated.

Watch next
  • Refresh source lanes
  • Refresh setup levels
  • Recheck API chart dates
  • Update metadata

Source Trail

Canonical Thesis

  • AI Capex Cycle defines the AI infrastructure chain, the AI-cloud capacity node, and the capex-to-cash proof burden.
  • Information Technology supports the broader cloud, data-center systems, semiconductor, networking, server, software, and enterprise-AI demand backdrop.
  • Funding Dependency And Duration Tolerance frames long-payback infrastructure, debt, leases, interest expense, duration sensitivity, and free-cash-flow proof.
  • Power Scarcity And Grid Load owns the power, cooling, interconnection, utility, and physical delivery constraints that can delay usable AI capacity.

Security Lanes And Raw Sources

Bounded Official Checks

Earnings, Revenue, And Market-Cap Checks

  • Next earnings dates were checked on Nasdaq earnings pages for CRWV, NBIS, APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI on 2026-06-13. Each page showed no available earnings date, so every Basket card uses Not confirmed.
  • Latest-quarter revenue fields use total reported revenue for the latest period in the cited company release or local source lane: CRWV Q1 2026, NBIS Q1 2026, APLD Q3 FY2026, IREN Q3 FY2026, CORZ Q1 2026, WULF Q1 2026, CIFR Q1 2026, HUT Q1 2026, and WYFI Q1 2026.
  • Market-cap metrics use local discovery estimates queried on 2026-06-13: June 12, 2026 daily_ohlc close multiplied by weighted shares outstanding where available, otherwise share-class shares outstanding. They are sizing context, not independent valuation research.

Discovery And Chart Provenance

  • The chart API reads daily_ohlc from the local discovery store and returns weekly packages using first open, maximum high, minimum low, final close, and summed volume.
  • python -m discovery.cli status TICKER --json was run for CRWV, NBIS, APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, and WYFI. All nine core tickers have local daily_ohlc rows through 2026-06-12.
  • Old static setup rows were based on completed weekly bars through 2026-06-05. Because local chart data now extends through 2026-06-12, those static setup thresholds are stale and must be refreshed before being used as current trading evidence.
  • Lineage status previously showed source freshness lagging table coverage for some names. Treat the canonical daily_ohlc table as the chart source and reconcile lineage freshness before using provider-run timestamps as live-provider freshness.
  • Right-rail selected-security charts are API-backed through /api/securities/TICKER/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest. Chart order follows the ranked basket: CRWV, NBIS, APLD, IREN, CORZ, WULF, CIFR, HUT, WYFI.

Known Gaps

  • CRWV, NBIS, and WYFI have short public trading histories, so 100W EMA evidence is missing or less mature for those charts.
  • Next earnings dates are unavailable in the bounded Nasdaq checks. Refresh official IR event calendars and Nasdaq/NYSE calendars before treating earnings timing as confirmed.
  • Contract-level economics, customer concentration, covenants, collateral packages, service credits, customer-acceptance tests, power-delivery dates, and customer-collection detail remain under-disclosed across several rows.
  • Some non-CRWV security lanes are May 31 first-pass lanes rather than node-specific June refreshes. Reopen the company lanes after the next filings, earnings calls, lease filings, financing documents, or delivery updates.

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