PM Portfolio Manager Reports

From Portfolio Manager reports

Pharmacy Distribution And Drug Access

This node covers the drug-channel plumbing that moves prescription medicines, specialty therapies, medical supplies, dental products, pharmacy claims, and patient-access services from manufacturers to pharmacies, health systems, physician practices, employers, insurers, and patients. The physical and operating stack includes wholesaler distribution centers, cold-chain and specialty handling, generic sourcing programs, oncology and multispecialty practice services, mail and retail pharmacy locations, PBM claims systems, pharmacy software, receivables funding, and practitioner supply routes. The current basket read is that MCK and CAH have the cleanest current distributor evidence, COR has the best local knowledge support but a customer-term and cash-conversion burden, CVS is an access route with PBM and retail margin risk, and HSIC is an office-care distribution tail with less direct prescription-drug exposure.

Report boundary: this node is a tactical report layer. It ranks the current value-chain basket, setup labels, confirmation triggers, invalidation levels, and chart provenance. Durable research, raw source registries, and company thesis maintenance stay in the linked knowledge pages. Price and volume context comes from read-only discovery daily_ohlc through 2026-06-12.

Current Setup

Distribution conversion gate More scripts matter only when margin, cash flow, and customer terms hold.

Wholesalers and pharmacy access platforms have large revenue bases but thin profit rates. The useful evidence is segment profit, free cash flow, receivables, inventory, pharmacy margin, and customer retention.

Positive proof MCK and CAH have the cleanest current prints. MCK reported $96.3B of Q4 FY2026 revenue; CAH reported $60.9B of Q3 FY2026 revenue and higher adjusted FCF guidance.
Conversion gate COR, CVS, and HSIC need cleaner cash or margin follow-through. COR has strong local specialty-distribution support; CVS and HSIC must prove non-HCB pharmacy and practice volume become profit and cash.
Primary constraint Reimbursement and working capital can absorb volume. Watch customer losses, GLP-1 mix, PBM remedies, receivables, inventory funding, pharmacy closures, and debt-funded acquisitions.
  1. Demand sourceAging + chronic care
  2. Channel workBuy, route, adjudicate
  3. Collection routeFees, spread, scripts
  4. Proof pointEBIT, FCF, terms

Static setup labels were built from weekly bars aggregated from discovery daily_ohlc through 2026-06-11. The local report API now has chart data through 2026-06-12, so refresh static setup thresholds before using them as current trading evidence. Fundamental claims route to the Health Care sector lane, the reimbursement-dispersion theme, linked security lanes, and official company or SEC releases for names without local security lanes.

Basket

This basket is inherited from the parent theme and ranked inside the node by direct distribution/access economics, current official-source evidence, local knowledge support, cash-conversion evidence, and then technical timing. MCK and CAH rank first because they have the clearest current distributor revenue and profit evidence; COR ranks third because local knowledge is strong but the cash-conversion and customer-term tests are higher; CVS and HSIC remain useful access routes with less pure drug-wholesale exposure.

MCK McKesson

Scaled drug distributor and specialty access platform with the clearest current official-source revenue, segment profit, and free-cash-flow evidence.

Market cap$88.3B
Next earningsAug 5, 2026 est.
Latest qtr revenue$96.3B

Role in stack

McKesson sells and routes pharmaceuticals, specialty drugs, oncology support, prescription technology, and medical-surgical supplies to pharmacies, health systems, oncology practices, manufacturers, employers, payers, and government customers. The conversion path is distribution fees, specialty handling, provider services, generic sourcing, prescription-technology revenue, working-capital discipline, and free cash flow.

Revenue mix

FY2026 revenue was $403.4B: North American Pharmaceutical $336.7B, Oncology & Multispecialty $48.4B, Prescription Technology Solutions $5.8B, and Medical-Surgical Solutions $11.5B.

Latest qtr revenue

Fiscal Q4 2026 revenue for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was $96.3B. Segment detail came from McKesson's May 7, 2026 fiscal 2026 results release; no filed local MCK security lane exists yet.

CAH Cardinal Health

Pharmaceutical and specialty distributor with a fresh Q3 FY2026 operating print and visible adjusted free-cash-flow guide.

Market cap$43.0B
Next earningsNot confirmed
Latest qtr revenue$60.9B

Role in stack

Cardinal Health distributes pharmaceuticals, specialty products, medical products, at-home supplies, and provider-platform services to pharmacies, providers, hospitals, and other care sites. Theme pressure converts through pharma and specialty volume, generics program performance, specialty services, medical-product recovery, inventory discipline, and free cash flow.

Revenue mix

Q3 FY2026 revenue was $60.9B. Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions generated $56.1B, Global Medical Products and Distribution generated $3.1B, and Other generated $1.7B.

Latest qtr revenue

Fiscal Q3 2026 revenue for the quarter reported April 30, 2026 was $60.9B. The SEC-filed earnings exhibit also showed Pharmaceutical and Specialty Solutions profit of $784M and non-GAAP operating earnings of $956M.

COR Cencora

Large U.S. pharmaceutical distributor with local specialty-platform evidence and a live customer-term and cash-conversion test.

Market cap$50.8B
Next earningsAug 5, 2026 est.
Latest qtr revenue$78.4B

Role in stack

Cencora serves pharmacies, providers, physician practices, manufacturers, and international wholesale/logistics customers. Distribution scale, specialty products, provider platforms, GLP-1 and chronic-drug volume, receivable discipline, and adjusted free cash flow decide whether volume becomes equity value.

Revenue mix

Q2 FY2026 revenue was $78.4B. U.S. Healthcare Solutions was the dominant segment; the local lane also tracks International Healthcare Solutions, Other, RCA, OneOncology, EyeSouth, Walgreens exposure, and working-capital quality.

Latest qtr revenue

Fiscal Q2 2026 revenue for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was $78.4B. Cencora's May 6, 2026 release and the COR knowledge lane show a lowered FY2026 revenue-growth guide, higher adjusted operating-income guide, and about $3.0B adjusted FCF target.

CVS CVS Health

Integrated pharmacy access and PBM route where prescription volume must convert into Health Services and retail pharmacy profit.

Market cap$115.5B
Next earningsJul 30, 2026 est.
Latest qtr revenue$100.4B

Role in stack

CVS connects Aetna benefits, Caremark PBM services, specialty and mail pharmacy, retail pharmacy, infusion, and consumer pharmacy. The node economics depend on PBM contract terms, retail reimbursement, script volume, specialty mix, Aetna medical-cost control, debt service, and operating cash flow.

Revenue mix

Q1 2026 revenue was $100.4B. Health Services revenue was $48.2B, Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness was $32.0B, and Health Care Benefits was $36.0B. Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness filled 451.2M prescriptions.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 revenue for the quarter ended March 31, 2026 was $100.4B. CVS's May 6, 2026 release showed prescription volume growth, but Health Services adjusted operating income fell 7.1% and Pharmacy & Consumer Wellness adjusted operating income fell 8.8%.

HSIC Henry Schein

Office-based dental and medical distribution route with useful access exposure and a lower direct prescription-drug fit.

Market cap$8.1B
Next earningsAug 4, 2026 est.
Latest qtr revenue$3.368B

Role in stack

Henry Schein supplies dental and medical practitioners, clinics, and specialty-product customers. Demand converts through dental merchandise and equipment, medical distribution, specialty products, technology, e-commerce, value-added services, internal growth, margin, and cash conversion.

Revenue mix

Q1 2026 net sales were $3.368B. Global Distribution and Value-Added Services was 84.3% of sales, Global Specialty Products was 11.8%, and Global Technology was 5.1%.

Latest qtr revenue

Q1 2026 net sales for the quarter ended March 28, 2026 were $3.368B. The HSIC knowledge lane flags 2.5 percentage points of internal growth, negative Q1 operating cash flow, and about $3.4B of total debt as the live quality checks.

Market caps use read-only discovery instruments.market_cap queried on 2026-06-13. Nasdaq/Zacks estimated next-earnings dates checked on 2026-06-13: MCK Aug 5, 2026 est.; COR Aug 5, 2026 est.; CVS Jul 30, 2026 est.; HSIC Aug 4, 2026 est. CAH is marked Not confirmed because this worker did not obtain a credible current earnings-date source. Source-only and watch list: WBA is a private retail-pharmacy stress and COR-customer watch after its August 2025 transaction; PDCO is a private dental and animal-health distribution comp after its April 2025 transaction. CI and OPCH are adjacent public access names for a future broader PBM or home-infusion pass, but they are outside the core parent basket for this node.

What Confirms Or Weakens

Area What confirms What weakens or invalidates Watch next
01 Node thesis Volume becomes cash
What confirms

Drug and supply volume converts into segment operating income, operating cash flow, free cash flow, and stable customer terms.

What weakens or invalidates

Revenue grows while gross profit rate, operating income, inventory days, receivables, payables, or cash flow deteriorate.

Watch next
  • Segment EBIT
  • OCF and FCF
  • DSO/DPO
  • Inventory turns
02 Wholesaler economics Thin-margin conversion
What confirms

MCK, CAH, and COR grow specialty, oncology, pharmacy-services, generics, and prescription-technology contribution while maintaining receivable and inventory discipline.

What weakens or invalidates

Customer losses, worse contract terms, GLP-1 revenue dilution, low-margin specialty volume, opioid or legal cash costs, or acquisition integration costs absorb profit.

Watch next
  • MCK specialty profit
  • CAH pharma profit
  • COR U.S. margin
  • Adjusted FCF
03 Customer and access Terms stay durable
What confirms

Large customers renew without worse economics, specialty and oncology platforms retain providers, and retail or mail pharmacy volume converts into gross profit per script.

What weakens or invalidates

Walgreens or other customer terms deteriorate, PBM remedies compress Caremark economics, pharmacy closures reduce access, or provider-platform integration weakens retention.

Watch next
  • Walgreens exposure
  • PBM updates
  • Pharmacy closures
  • Provider retention
04 Funding and cash Working capital clears
What confirms

Operating cash flow covers capex, acquisitions, dividends, buybacks, and debt service without higher intra-period borrowing or receivable stress.

What weakens or invalidates

Inventory funding, receivable concentration, debt-funded M&A, buybacks, or adjusted-profit bridges outrun operating cash generation.

Watch next
  • COR adjusted FCF
  • MCK FCF
  • CAH FCF guide
  • HSIC OCF recovery
05 Policy and reimbursement Margin rules do not tighten
What confirms

Medicare, PBM, pharmacy reimbursement, generic sourcing, and specialty access rules leave distributors and access platforms with stable profit pools.

What weakens or invalidates

PBM transparency remedies, Part D economics, client repricing, retail reimbursement cuts, or generic-price deflation reduce profit per claim or per script.

Watch next
  • Medicare/PBM policy
  • Caremark contracts
  • Generic sourcing
  • Retail reimbursement
06 Stale condition Refresh trigger
What confirms

MCK and CAH get filed local security lanes, official company releases remain current, and local OHLC stays current for the five charted names.

What weakens or invalidates

The page relies on official earnings snippets without durable knowledge routing, WBA or PDCO re-enter charted lists without active local OHLC, or new releases arrive before refresh.

Watch next
  • MCK lane creation
  • CAH lane creation
  • Discovery status
  • New earnings releases

Source Trail

Parent Theme And Sector Frame

Security Lanes

  • COR, CVS, and HSIC support the source-backed local company claims.
  • MCK and CAH have current official company and SEC release support, plus fresh local OHLC, but no filed local security lanes at the review timestamp.
  • WBA and PDCO remain source-only status watches because local discovery has no active instrument or OHLC for either ticker.

Official Company And SEC Sources

Earnings Date And Market-Cap Sources

  • Next-earnings estimates were checked on 2026-06-13 through Nasdaq API endpoints /api/analyst/MCK/earnings-date, /api/analyst/COR/earnings-date, /api/analyst/CVS/earnings-date, and /api/analyst/HSIC/earnings-date. Nasdaq states those dates are algorithmic estimates based on historical reporting dates and its Zacks Investment Research vendor, so the Basket labels them est..
  • Estimated next earnings: MCK Aug 5, 2026; COR Aug 5, 2026; CVS Jul 30, 2026; HSIC Aug 4, 2026. CAH is marked Not confirmed because no credible earnings-date source was obtained in this worker pass.
  • Market caps use read-only discovery instruments.market_cap queried on 2026-06-13: MCK $88.3B, CAH $43.0B, COR $50.8B, CVS $115.5B, and HSIC $8.1B.

Discovery And Chart Provenance

  • DuckDB source: /home/nick/projects/portfolio-manager/discovery/data/discovery.duckdb, opened read-only for status, market cap, and weekly setup work.
  • Discovery status found daily_ohlc through 2026-06-12 for MCK, CAH, COR, CVS, and HSIC; WBA and PDCO had no local instrument or OHLC rows in the prior page package.
  • Weekly setup rows aggregate daily rows by calendar week using first open, maximum high, minimum low, final close, and summed volume. Indicators use 20W and 100W EMAs computed from weekly closes with full available local history.
  • Selected-security charts use the local report API route /api/securities/{ticker}/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest. This page does not embed full OHLC arrays.
  • Representative API check should use the same route for a charted ticker, for example /api/securities/MCK/chart?frequency=weekly&window=3y&as_of=latest. If the local report API is down, the selected-security rail should show its API-unavailable state.

Subagent Tournament

  • The page uses the requested 10 primary subagent research pass plus one merge/select pass. The final merge kept a distributor-first core basket and rejected CI, OPCH, UNH, ELV, OMCL, GDRX, and payer or automation adjacencies from the core.
  • The merge selected MCK, CAH, COR, CVS, and HSIC as the final rank, with CI and OPCH as adjacent watch names and WBA/PDCO as source-only status names.

Known Gaps

  • MCK and CAH need filed local security lanes before this page can route every company-specific claim through durable knowledge pages.
  • Static setup labels and thresholds remain from the 2026-06-11 package while the local chart API can see data through 2026-06-12. Refresh setup levels before using chart thresholds as current trading evidence.
  • CAH's next earnings date is not confirmed in this worker pass.
  • PBM, Medicare, reimbursement, and pharmacy-closure surfaces can change quickly. Refresh company filings and policy sources before using this page for a new decision cycle.
  • WBA and PDCO should stay out of charted tables unless local instruments and OHLC coverage return.

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