PM Portfolio Manager Reports

From Portfolio Manager reports

Security report / OMCL

Omnicell Operating Console

Omnicell is a conditional health-care automation recovery. Q1 2026 showed better revenue, operating income, cash flow, and raised non-GAAP EBITDA guidance, but the next proof window is bookings, RPO, ARR, service growth, GAAP quality, and cash conversion.

Metadata Knowledge Lane Fallback Chart
Ticker OMCL
Knowledge reviewed 2026-07-04
Links checked 2026-07-05
Chart source Local API
Module 01 / Price

Selected-Security Chart

API required

Loading OMCL daily chart from the local report API.

Loading OMCL chart...

Module 02 / Proof window

Current Company View

Execution test
Next read Product bookings must hold within or above the $510M-$560M FY2026 guide while ARR, RPO, service growth, and cash quality improve.
Measured base

Q1 2026 revenue was $309.9M, up about 15% year over year, with GAAP operating income of $16.9M.

Main proof issue

FY2025 product bookings fell 4% to $535M, and Q1 RPO not in deferred revenue slipped to $382.9M from $388.0M at year-end 2025.

Valuation context

At the July 2 close of $43.03, research estimates roughly $1.89B of enterprise value, about 1.5x FY2026 revenue guide midpoint.

Next evidence

Q2-Q4 revenue, product bookings, ARR, service revenue, OmniSphere and Titan XT adoption, non-GAAP bridge quality, and operating cash flow.

Q1 revenue $309.9M About 15% year-over-year growth
FY2025 bookings $535M Product bookings down 4%
FY2026 bookings guide $510M-$560M Durability proof point
ARR guide $680M-$700M Recurring-quality test
Q1 cash / debt $239.2M / $167.9M Cash and convertible debt carrying value
Q1 OCF / capex $54.5M / $12.4M Cash conversion improved
Exposure Map

Business Profile, Segments, And Exposure

Omnicell reports one segment, so product and service categories carry the useful exposure read.

Business model

Medication-management automation

Omnicell sells automated dispensing, pharmacy automation, connected devices, software, consumables, technical services, SaaS, and expert services mainly to health systems and pharmacies.

Disclosure map

One reportable segment

Product and service revenue are visible, but profitability by product, service, customer type, geography, Titan XT, or OmniSphere is not separately disclosed.

Product cycle

Product revenue was 56.2% of FY2025 revenue.

FY2025 product revenue was $665.7M; Q1 2026 product revenue was $174.8M.

More useful evidence

Bookings above guide, stable RPO, and installation timing that does not pull demand forward.

Service and ARR

Service revenue was 43.8% of FY2025 revenue.

FY2025 service revenue was $519.1M; Q1 2026 service revenue was $135.1M.

More useful evidence

Retention, attach rates, ARR progression, and service growth that reduce capital-equipment cyclicality.

Provider budgets

Automation need does not remove capital-budget risk.

Health-system labor and workflow pressure can support automation, but customer funding, installation, and acceptance cycles gate product demand.

More useful evidence

Provider commentary that funded projects are converting into orders rather than deferred interest.

Input costs

Hardware margins remain exposed to physical supply chains.

Tariff, freight, input-cost, and customer pass-through evidence should be checked against later margin and cash conversion.

More useful evidence

Gross margin bridge, inventory detail, tariff discussion, and working-capital behavior.

Value Driver Board

Relative Value And Value Drivers

The recovery multiple can hold only if demand, recurring mix, margins, cash, and per-share quality improve together.

Bookings
$510M-$560M FY2026 guide

The midpoint is close to FY2025's $535M, so bookings need to prove demand durability.

Next: product bookings, RPO, installation timing, and customer acceptance.
Recurring mix
$680M-$700M ARR guide

ARR and service growth decide whether investors can underwrite a platform read rather than a product cycle.

Next: service revenue, retention, attach rates, Titan XT, and OmniSphere adoption.
Operating leverage
$153M-$168M EBITDA guide

Management raised non-GAAP EBITDA guidance after Q1 without raising revenue guidance.

Next: EBITDA margin, GAAP operating income, SBC, and recurring adjustments.
Cash conversion
$54.5M Q1 operating cash flow

Cash flow improved, but durability must include capex, capitalized software, working capital, and dilution.

Next: free cash flow after capex and software development plus share count.
Guidance Tests

Guidance Path And What Changed

Guidance improved the margin case more than the demand case because revenue, bookings, and ARR ranges were not raised.

Question
Can product demand clear the guide?

Confirm product bookings at or above the $510M-$560M FY2026 range with stable RPO.

Warn bookings cuts, further RPO decline, or revenue strength that looks like timing pull-forward.

Question
Did margin guidance improve for durable reasons?

Confirm EBITDA and EPS gains bridge to GAAP operating income and cash flow.

Warn if SBC, restructuring, amortization, or capitalized software dominate the improvement.

Question
Is ARR becoming a real platform signal?

Confirm ARR tracks the $680M-$700M guide with service growth and customer adoption evidence.

Warn ARR or service stagnation while product revenue stays elevated.

Operating Evidence

Operating Evidence And KPIs

These are evidence tiles from the filed lane, not a replacement for the full knowledge page.

Revenue growth
$1.185B FY2025; $309.9M Q1

Q1 growth supports a recovery read, but bookings and RPO decide durability.

RPO
$382.9M

Q1 RPO not in deferred revenue was down from $388.0M at FY2025 year-end.

Operating income
$16.9M Q1 2026

GAAP operating income turned positive after FY2025 operating income of only $5.2M.

Short interest
3.16M shares

About 6.9% of shares outstanding as of 2026-06-15; meaningful, not a standalone thesis.

Capital Ledger

Financial Quality And Capital Allocation

Liquidity is not the main constraint; the harder test is whether non-GAAP improvement becomes GAAP and cash quality.

Financial quality

Balance sheet supports the recovery test

At Q1 2026, cash was $239.2M, convertible debt carrying value was $167.9M, and the $350M revolver was undrawn and available. Balance-sheet risk is manageable, but it does not prove durable demand.

Capital allocation

Buybacks need dilution context

Omnicell repaid 2025 convertible notes and substantially completed a $75M buyback authorization in FY2025. FY2025 SBC was $44.5M versus GAAP net income of $2.1M, so per-share value depends on cash flow, SBC, share count, and 2029 convert or warrant effects.

Position Board

Competitive Position

Omnicell has embedded workflow relevance, but the reported economics still leave the advantage mixed.

What OMCL has

Workflow embed

Medication dispensing, pharmacy automation, support, software, and services touch regulated health-system workflows.

Hybrid revenue base

Product and service revenue both matter, giving Omnicell more than a single hardware lever.

Liquidity

Cash, undrawn revolver availability, and manageable convert debt reduce near-term financing pressure.

What is not proven

Platform pull

Titan XT and OmniSphere adoption must convert into bookings, ARR, RPO, and service growth.

Segment economics

One-segment reporting limits visibility by product, service, customer type, or geography.

GAAP quality

Non-GAAP EBITDA and EPS need to reconcile cleanly with GAAP income, cash flow, and per-share economics.

Street View

Ownership, Flows, Valuation, And Street View

Use street data as dated outside-view context. The operating proof still comes from bookings, ARR, RPO, and cash quality.

Market tape

$43.03 close on 2026-07-02

The stock was down about 5.0% from the 2025 year-end close but up about 28.9% from the Q1 close.

Dashboard use: event-sensitive recovery, not a fully reset growth multiple.
Valuation snapshot

About 1.5x revenue and 11.7x EBITDA guide

Research estimates market cap near $1.96B and enterprise value near $1.89B at the 2026-07-02 close.

Dashboard use: recovery priced, but execution proof still required.
StockAnalysis forecast

$61.29 average target from 8 analysts

Checked 2026-07-05: StockAnalysis showed S&P Global Strong Buy consensus, $55 low, $70 high, and last-checked date of 2026-07-02.

Dashboard use: outside-view upside tied to recovery credibility; aggregator methodology can differ by provider. StockAnalysis OMCL forecast
Short interest

3.16M shares short

Local research captured 2026-06-15 short interest near 6.9% of shares outstanding, up from about 2.67M shares at 2025 year-end.

Dashboard use: skepticism is visible, but holder concentration was not verified.
Scenario Board

Scenario Assessment And Sensitivities

The base case is a conditional recovery; upside needs platform adoption and downside can come from bookings or quality failure.

Base

Q1 margin gains continue, bookings hold within guide, ARR and service revenue progress, and cash conversion remains acceptable.

Upside

Titan XT and OmniSphere adoption convert into bookings and ARR, making the business look more like an embedded automation platform.

Downside

Provider budget constraints, installation delays, weak platform pull, or RPO decline make the Q1 rebound look timing-driven.

Trigger Stack

Monitoring Triggers

These are business evidence checks. Chart overlays remain in the shared overlay registry.

Bookings and RPO

Demand durability check

Confirm bookings inside or above guide with stable or improving RPO.

Warn guide cuts, bookings below range, or continuing RPO decline.

ARR and service

Recurring-quality check

Confirm ARR, service revenue, retention, and attach rates improve together.

Warn ARR or service stagnation while product revenue remains elevated.

GAAP quality

Non-GAAP bridge check

Confirm EBITDA, GAAP operating income, and operating cash flow improve together.

Warn SBC, restructuring, amortization, or capitalized software absorb the improvement.

Provider budgets

Funding conversion check

Confirm provider workflow pressure converts into funded automation orders.

Warn customers defer projects despite labor or medication-management needs.

Risk Punch Cards

Risks, Invalidations, And Quality Flags

The main risks are product-cycle failure, provider budget delays, non-GAAP quality, competition, and per-share leakage.

Provider capital budgets
Basis

Automation need can be real while health systems still defer capital purchases.

Warning

Bookings miss guide, RPO declines, or installation timing stretches.

Reduce concern

Funded orders, RPO stability, and customer acceptance evidence improve.

Product cycle
Basis

FY2025 bookings fell and FY2026 guide midpoint is not a clear acceleration.

Warning

Titan XT or OmniSphere adoption remains narrative instead of orders.

Reduce concern

Bookings, ARR, and service evidence show platform pull.

Non-GAAP quality
Basis

FY2025 SBC was far larger than GAAP net income.

Warning

Adjusted EBITDA and EPS improve without GAAP or cash confirmation.

Reduce concern

Operating income, cash flow, and share-count discipline improve together.

Competition
Basis

Medication-management automation remains competitive.

Warning

Win rates, pricing, platform adoption, or service attach rates disappoint.

Reduce concern

Customer wins and ARR/service growth show stronger installed-base economics.

Per-share value
Basis

Buybacks, SBC, converts, and warrants all affect recovery value per share.

Warning

Dilution offsets buybacks or cash-flow gains.

Reduce concern

Free cash flow funds product investment and per-share discipline.

Disclosure
Basis

One-segment reporting limits product, service, and customer profitability visibility.

Warning

Valuation rises without better mix, retention, or segment evidence.

Reduce concern

ARR, service mix, bookings, and adoption metrics provide cleaner visibility.

Diagnostics

Diagnostics, Freshness, And Known Unknowns

Freshness is explicit because this page is a projection of a filed source lane, not a research refresh.

Freshness

No stale-source warning in the filed lane
Source run

Latest filed security source run generated 2026-07-04T22:42:34Z.

Market data

Lane market snapshot uses the 2026-07-02 close and 2026-06-15 short-interest date.

Web check

Official IR routes and StockAnalysis forecast page checked 2026-07-05.

Known unknowns

Coverage gaps
Call transcripts

Latest four earnings-call transcripts were not included in the filed evidence set.

Holder and insider detail

Detailed insider transaction economics and full holder concentration were not verified.

Peer set

Clean health-care automation and medication-management peer benchmarks remain incomplete.

Categories