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Weekly Close: 2026-W27

Weekly close report for ISO week 2026-W27, ending Thursday 2026-07-02. Friday 2026-07-03 was a U.S. market holiday, so the report updates from the July 2 weekly close. Weekly OHLC bars are derived from daily_ohlc; the strict market tape screened 3,657 liquid common stocks with enough weekly history.

Freshness: The refreshed local report payload resolved to 2026-07-02 with source freshness 2026-07-02. The weekly-only wrapper refreshed report materialized views before the nested updater stalled; this recovery used run id 20260704T000450Z. Generated at .

Market-Moving News

The holiday-shortened week ended Thursday 2026-07-02 because U.S. markets were closed Friday 2026-07-03 for Independence Day. The broad local tape was positive by breadth, but the week was not uniform: the Dow and many non-tech groups worked while Nasdaq, chip, optical, and selected AI infrastructure names came under pressure.

  • June payrolls slowed and kept rate expectations in the foreground. The BLS June Employment Situation reported nonfarm payrolls up 57,000 and unemployment at 4.2%. AP's index recap said the hiring data helped broad stocks, while chip and AI winners still weighed on Nasdaq.
  • Headline indexes diverged into the long weekend. AP's July 2 index recap showed the Dow up 1.1% to a record close, the S&P 500 nearly unchanged, the Nasdaq down 0.8%, and the Russell 2000 down 0.5%. For the week, AP reported the S&P 500 up 1.8%, the Dow up 2.0%, the Nasdaq up 2.1%, and the Russell 2000 down 0.5%.
  • Tech pressure was concentrated while most local rows still advanced. Investor's Business Daily described a Dow record alongside weakness in Meta, chip, optical, and electronics groups. The local weekly rows match the split: 2,054 advancers against 1,584 decliners, while semicap, storage, and selected AI-capacity nodes lagged.
  • Tesla was a same-day sentiment check for EV and autonomy narratives. Business Insider reported Tesla delivered 480,126 vehicles in Q2, above consensus estimates, but shares sold off during the session. This report uses that as external context for EV/autonomy sentiment only; Tesla is not one of the selected weekly trade-entry cards.

Measured local weekly tape: all securities had a +10.91% equal-weight return, +0.53% median return, 2,054 advancers, 1,584 decliners, and 19 unchanged. The equal-weight read is inflated by extreme all-securities outliers, so the report emphasizes median return, breadth, research-space rows, industry medians, node medians, and active-book rows.

Top Ticker Activity

The useful ticker read was a rebound in defense, sensing, healthcare workflow, and selected software against renewed pressure in AI financing, storage, semicap, and power-delivery rows.

  • AVAV, OUST, and WAY were the cleanest theme-routed positive outliers. AVAV rose +38.38% on 2.72x volume inside Defense Autonomy And ISR Integrators. OUST rose +18.61%, made new 4W/52W highs, and led the Sensing, Vision, And Perception Stack node. WAY rose +17.89% and made a new 4W high inside Health IT, Data Rails, And AI Workflow.
  • Defense and space repaired from last week's damage. AVAV rose +38.38%, VSAT +34.08%, AXON +28.44%, RKLB +18.83%, and NOC +9.80%. The group move matters because the previous weekly report had defense and space rows in the failure list.
  • Active-book leadership was narrow but real. OUST rose +18.61%, FCEL +17.13%, BE +7.49%, ILMN +6.87%, GOOGL +6.67%, and GEV +6.50%. Active-book median return was -0.13% with 8 advancers and 9 decliners, so the book was mixed rather than broadly strong.
  • AI financing, semicap, and storage laggards still need rule checks. CRWD fell -72.33% and made a new 4W/52W low. TER fell -15.51%, AMKR -11.52%, TLN -9.76%, MRVL -8.05%, SNDK -16.54%, and CRWV -15.36%. These rows show why the semicap, AI-cloud financing, storage, and merchant-power nodes remain risk checks.
Universe3,657All securities
Equal-weight return+10.91%mean weekly move; outlier-inflated
Median return+0.53%middle stock move
Advancers / decliners2,054 / 1,58456% of names up
4W highs / lows1,391 / 618closing breakouts vs breakdowns
52W highs / lows473 / 67longer-term extremes
Median volume impulse0.75xversus 4-week average
Chart coverage3,657 / 5,271selectable right-rail names

Industry News And Tape

, , and led the broad industry tails. Guided missiles and space vehicles had a +13.16% median return with 85.7% breadth, communications services had +10.22%, and television broadcasting stations had +10.13% with 100% breadth. That is the local industry evidence behind the defense and communications rebound.

Healthcare services and software breadth were constructive, but software had one major weak outlier. rose +8.79% median with 100% breadth, rose +7.10% median with 86.3% breadth, and rose +6.25%. CRWD's -72.33% move kept the software row from supporting a broad software-strength claim.

Weak tails were concentrated in cyclicals, storage, construction, and power delivery. fell -10.10% median, fell -8.86%, fell -8.41%, fell -6.28%, and fell -6.05%.

Skew check: the all-securities equal-weight return was distorted by extreme rows in unclassified, metals, business-services, biotech, and restaurant tickers. Industry prose uses median returns, breadth, and named routed rows rather than the all-securities average.

Industry Heatmap

The fixed-size treemap uses tile area for absolute one-week average return. Green tiles are positive, red tiles are negative, and return labels show the one-week average industry move.

Industry labels use SIC descriptions from local instruments. Broad industry leaders by median return included Guided Missiles & Space Vehicles & Parts at +13.16%, Communications Services, NEC at +10.22%, Television Broadcasting Stations at +10.13%, Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals at +8.79%, and Services-Prepackaged Software at +7.10%. Weak tails included Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills at -10.10%, Computer Storage Devices at -8.86%, Heavy Construction Contractors at -8.41%, Services-Miscellaneous Equipment Rental & Leasing at -7.98%, and Water, Sewer, Pipeline, Communication And Power Line Construction at -6.28%.

Industry Tape

Industry median return scatter. X-axis shows 4-week median return; y-axis shows one-week median return. Filtered industry drilldowns label security points by ticker.

All-securities breadth was positive for the week: 2,054 advancers, 1,584 decliners, and 19 unchanged across 3,657 viable names. Median return was +0.53%; equal-weight return was +10.91% but distorted by extreme outliers. Research space was better than last week with 525 advancers against 346 decliners across 872 names. Active book had 8 advancers and 9 decliners across 17 names. Click any security point to render its daily or weekly candlestick chart in the right rail when the local report API is running.

4W Return vs 1W Return

One-week return by 4-week return. X-axis shows 4-week return; y-axis shows one-week return.

1W Return vs Volume Impulse

One-week return by weekly volume versus the 4-week average.

Weekly Volume Regime

Weekly volume divided by 13-week and 4-week average volume.

Average Volume Regime

Average-volume regime across 4-week, 13-week, and 52-week windows.

Value-Chain Node Tape

Node leadership shifted from last week's biology-only tape into defense software, sensing, healthcare workflow, AI demand software, and selected defense integrators. The weak side remained clear in AI-cloud financing, memory/storage, cooling backup, merchant power, grid delivery, and semicap packaging.

Value-chain node payloads are API-backed and use theme and node metadata from themes/*/report.json and themes/*/nodes/*/report.json. Node leaders included Defense AI Workflow Software at +10.78% median return with 100% breadth, Sensing, Vision, And Perception Stack at +10.30% with 100% breadth and 1.44x volume, Health IT, Data Rails, And AI Workflow at +8.48% with 100% breadth, AI Demand And Workload Growth at +8.35% median despite CRWD weakness, Defense Autonomy And ISR Integrators at +7.85%, and Funded Defense Prime Conversion at +7.66%. Weak nodes included AI-Cloud Capacity And Financing at -17.89% with 0% breadth, Memory and storage screen at -11.35%, Cooling, Backup, And Power Quality at -9.32%, Existing Nuclear Fleet And Premium Contracts at -8.93%, Merchant Power And Capacity Markets at -8.04%, and Semicap, Packaging, And Power Semis at -6.44%.

  • Defense and autonomy repaired the prior weak row. Defense AI Workflow Software, Defense Autonomy And ISR Integrators, and Funded Defense Prime Conversion all had positive median returns. AVAV and NOC were the most useful chart-review names from that group.
  • Robotics strength was concentrated in sensing. Sensing, Vision, And Perception Stack had +10.30% median return, 100% breadth, and 1.44x volume, with OUST as the top ticker.
  • AI infrastructure remained split. AI Demand And Workload Growth and Software And Security Monetization had positive medians, but AI-Cloud Capacity And Financing, Memory and storage screen, Semicap, Packaging, And Power Semis, and Power, Cooling, And Physical Delivery were weak or breadth-damaged.
  • Healthcare workflow kept a constructive route. Health IT, Data Rails, And AI Workflow had +8.48% median return and 100% breadth; Diagnostics, Monitoring, And Lab Data and Procedure And Medtech Platforms were more selective and supplied GH and ISRG rather than broad group strength.

Trade Entry Candidates

Curated-universe entries only. Trigger and invalidation prices are metadata for review; this report does not add chart overlays or horizontal levels.

Physical AI And Defense Autonomy

AVAV

Ticker
AVAV
Parent theme
Physical AI And Defense Autonomy
Node
Defense Autonomy And ISR Integrators
Setup label
Momentum continuation
Entry trigger
Weekly close through $200.38, or controlled pullback holds the old $181.27 breakout area.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $181.27; terminal review below $135.20.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $200.38 or loss of $181.27.
Evidence
Closed $190.89; +38.38% 1W; +2.67% 4W; +3.54% 13W; 2.72x volume. Defense Autonomy And ISR Integrators had +7.85% median return, 87.5% breadth, and AVAV was the top node ticker.

NOC

Ticker
NOC
Parent theme
Physical AI And Defense Autonomy
Node
Funded Defense Prime Conversion
Setup label
Range reclaim
Entry trigger
Weekly close above $559.70, or pullback holds above the 20-week area near $529.44.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $493.84.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $559.70 or a close back below $529.44.
Evidence
Closed $549.01; +9.80% 1W; +0.85% 4W; -21.85% 13W; 0.98x volume. Funded Defense Prime Conversion had +7.66% median return and 100% breadth.

Robotics

OUST

Ticker
OUST
Parent theme
Robotics
Node
Sensing, Vision, And Perception Stack
Setup label
Pullback to rising 20-week
Entry trigger
Weekly close through $63.79, or pullback holds $43.45-$45.15 and then reclaims $49.84.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $39.00; terminal failure below $35.30.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $63.79 or loss of the $43.45-$45.15 support area.
Evidence
Closed $49.84; +18.61% 1W; +25.60% 4W; +155.72% 13W; 1.48x volume; new 4W and 52W highs. Sensing, Vision, And Perception Stack had +10.30% median return, 100% breadth, and 1.44x volume.

Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand

WAY

Ticker
WAY
Parent theme
Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand
Node
Health IT, Data Rails, And AI Workflow
Setup label
Momentum continuation
Entry trigger
Weekly close through $23.70, or controlled pullback holds the old $21.97 range high.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $19.54; terminal failure below $17.26.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $23.70 or loss of $21.97.
Evidence
Closed $23.46; +17.89% 1W; +17.30% 4W; -1.18% 13W; 1.11x volume; new 4W high. Health IT, Data Rails, And AI Workflow had +8.48% median return and 100% breadth.

ISRG

Ticker
ISRG
Parent theme
Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand
Node
Procedure And Medtech Platforms
Setup label
Range reclaim
Entry trigger
Weekly close above $430.85.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $397.52; warning on a close below the 20-week area near $410.45.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $430.85 or loss of $397.52.
Evidence
Closed $426.01; +5.27% 1W; +0.94% 4W; -5.76% 13W; 0.80x volume; new 4W high. Procedure And Medtech Platforms had +1.36% median return with 63.6% breadth.

GH

Ticker
GH
Parent theme
Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand
Node
Diagnostics, Monitoring, And Lab Data
Setup label
Momentum continuation
Entry trigger
Weekly close through $172.61, or pullback holds above $148.29 and reclaims $167.98.
Invalidation
Weekly close below $148.29; terminal failure below the 20-week area near $137.81.
Stale condition
Stale after two failed closes below $172.61 or loss of $148.29.
Evidence
Closed $167.98; +12.57% 1W; +33.73% 4W; +79.03% 13W; 1.09x volume; new 4W and 52W highs. Diagnostics, Monitoring, And Lab Data had +2.41% median return and GH was the top node ticker.

Prior Entry Candidate Review

Prior pending rows were evaluated against the 2026-07-02 weekly close. Rows that validate or invalidate this week stay visible for one report, then fall out of the ledger next week.

AI Capex Cycle

ANET

Ticker
ANET
Original week
2026-W22
Parent theme
AI Capex Cycle
Node
Networking, Optical, And Interconnect
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $159.99; +1.52%; below $179.80 trigger and above $135.13 invalidation.

AMKR

Ticker
AMKR
Original week
2026-W25
Parent theme
AI Capex Cycle
Node
Semicap, Packaging, And Power Semis
Setup
Extended breakout reset
Status
invalidated
This week
Close $69.65; -11.52%; below $74.78 hard invalidation after losing the $83.30 reset area.

MRVL

Ticker
MRVL
Original week
2026-W25
Parent theme
AI Capex Cycle
Node
Accelerators And Custom Silicon
Setup
Momentum continuation
Status
pending
This week
Close $245.29; -8.05%; below $329.88 trigger and $288.00 warning, still above terminal review near $240.26.

Power Scarcity And Grid Load

JCI

Ticker
JCI
Original week
2026-W23
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Cooling, Backup, And Power Quality
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $140.76; +1.71%; below $147.32 trigger and above $136.17/$133.60 invalidation.

OKE

Ticker
OKE
Original week
2026-W23
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Fuel Inputs
Setup
Pullback to rising 20-week
Status
pending
This week
Close $87.83; -1.56%; below $90.74 trigger and above $82.29 hard invalidation.

PWR

Ticker
PWR
Original week
2026-W24
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Grid Delivery Services
Setup
Position add / range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $668.31; -2.84%; below $715.92/$711.31 add rules and just above $667.14 invalidation.

HUBB

Ticker
HUBB
Original week
2026-W25
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Electrical Equipment Bottlenecks
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $487.10; -5.79%; below $529.98 trigger and $489.81 warning, above $453.48 terminal failure.

TLN

Ticker
TLN
Original week
2026-W25
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Merchant Power And Capacity Markets
Setup
Position add / momentum continuation
Status
invalidated
This week
Close $364.67; -9.76%; below $377.97 review level and below $449.84 trigger.

AEP

Ticker
AEP
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Utilities And Grid Recovery
Setup
Momentum continuation
Status
pending
This week
Close $138.51; -0.13%; below $139.08 trigger but above the $135.50-$136.91 support band by close.

ETR

Ticker
ETR
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Utilities And Grid Recovery
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $115.11; -0.69%; below $116.39 trigger and below the $115.91 pullback hold, but above $110.85 invalidation.

ESE

Ticker
ESE
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
Power Scarcity And Grid Load
Node
Electrical Equipment Bottlenecks
Setup
Base breakout
Status
pending
This week
Close $332.78; -2.09%; below $362.15 trigger and above $317.87 invalidation.

AI-Enabled Biology And Scientific Discovery

ILMN

Ticker
ILMN
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
AI-Enabled Biology And Scientific Discovery
Node
AI-Ready Biology Data And Omics
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
validated
This week
Close $188.68; +6.87%; validated above $177.76 and $182.84 with a new 4W/52W high.

Robotics

ROK

Ticker
ROK
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
Robotics
Node
Factory Automation And Robot OEM Proxies
Setup
Range reclaim
Status
pending
This week
Close $471.70; -1.07%; held above $461.22 but stayed below the $486.47 trigger.

Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand

NTRA

Ticker
NTRA
Original week
2026-W26
Parent theme
Healthcare Technology And Aging Demand
Node
Diagnostics, Monitoring, And Lab Data
Setup
Overextended, wait for reset
Status
pending
This week
Close $279.32; +6.65%; above $271.47 but did not reset into the $240.72 or $226.47 hold zone first.

Risk And Failure Signals

All-securities average is distorted

Equal-weight return was +10.91% while median return was only +0.53%. Use median, breadth, and curated universe rows before drawing market-wide conclusions.

AI financing and storage weakness

AI-Cloud Capacity And Financing fell -17.89% median with 0% breadth. Memory and storage screen fell -11.35%, and Computer Storage Devices fell -8.86% by industry median.

Semicap and test pressure

TER fell -15.51%, AMKR fell -11.52%, and the Semicap, Packaging, And Power Semis node had only 6.7% breadth despite longer 13-week strength.

Power delivery and merchant power damage

PWR closed just above its $667.14 weekly invalidation line, TLN broke below the $377.97 review level, and Grid Delivery Services had 0% breadth.

CRWD software shock

CRWD fell -72.33% and made a new 4W/52W low. Software medians were positive, but this row keeps software risk on the review list.

Follow-Up Queue

  • Check whether AVAV can hold above the old $181.27 breakout area after the +38.38% weekly move.
  • Review OUST against the $43.45-$45.15 pullback-hold area and the $63.79 high-break trigger.
  • Decide whether ILMN validation above $177.76/$182.84 changes the portfolio action queue or only closes the prior weekly setup.
  • Watch PWR at $667.14 and TLN after the $377.97 review break; route detailed action decisions to the portfolio page.
  • Check whether semicap damage is isolated to TER/AMKR/NVTS or broadens across the full Semicap, Packaging, And Power Semis node.
  • Restart or verify the local report API before relying on right-rail chart interaction from file-opened weekly pages.

Source Trail

  • Report API health cache: /tmp/api_health.json; weekly payload cache: /tmp/weekly_2026_07_02.json; weekly endpoint represented: /api/reports/weekly/all-universes?week=2026-07-02 and week=latest, resolved to 2026-07-02 with source freshness 2026-07-02.
  • Report materialized views refreshed by the weekly-only wrapper before recovery: reports.daily_security_metrics, reports.daily_security_return_buckets, reports.weekly_ohlc, reports.weekly_security_metrics, reports.daily_industry_rollups, and reports.weekly_industry_rollups.
  • Right-rail chart payloads load from /api/securities/{ticker}/chart?frequency=weekly&window=5y&as_of=2026-07-02 when the local report API is running. The selected-security rail stays API-backed with data-chart-api="required".
  • Top Ticker Activity used weekly API all-securities, research-space, thematic-research, active-book, industry-rollup, scatter, volume-regime, and value-chain node slices. No broad universe rows, scatter rows, industry drilldowns, node rows, or OHLC rows are embedded in this HTML.
  • Industry labels in filter buttons: GUIDED MISSILES & SPACE VEHICLES & PARTS, COMMUNICATIONS SERVICES, NEC, TELEVISION BROADCASTING STATIONS, SERVICES-GENERAL MEDICAL & SURGICAL HOSPITALS, NEC, SERVICES-PREPACKAGED SOFTWARE, SERVICES-COMMERCIAL PHYSICAL & BIOLOGICAL RESEARCH, STEEL WORKS, BLAST FURNACES & ROLLING MILLS (COKE OVENS), COMPUTER STORAGE DEVICES, HEAVY CONSTRUCTION OTHER THAN BLDG CONST - CONTRACTORS, WATER, SEWER, PIPELINE, COMM & POWER LINE CONSTRUCTION, and CONSTRUCTION MACHINERY & EQUIP.
  • Value-chain node routes come from themes/*/report.json and themes/*/nodes/*/report.json. Node claims used local API-backed selected-basket returns, breadth, volume impulse, top/weak node tickers, and current theme/node metadata.
  • Prior weekly ledger source: 2026-W26 archived close, with carried rows from 2026-W22, 2026-W23, 2026-W24, and 2026-W25.
  • Market-moving news web search window: 2026-06-29 through the 2026-07-02 close, with Friday 2026-07-03 treated as a U.S. market holiday. Opened sources: BLS June Employment Situation, AP July 2 index recap, Investor's Business Daily July 2 market close, and Business Insider Tesla delivery report.
  • Automation run id: 20260704T000450Z; log directory: /home/nick/projects/portfolio-manager/discovery/logs/weekly-report-updates/20260704T000450Z. The nested weekly updater stalled during the edit step and was terminated; this direct recovery used the refreshed report-layer payload and did not run daily or universe ingestion jobs.